| China Alumina Industry Report, 2007-2010 |
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LIST OF CONTENTS |
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Domestic total output of alumina reached 8.51 million tons in 2005, while the demand was about 13 million, so 7.02 million tons were imported. Domestic output of alumina was 13.70 million tons in 2006. According to the expectation of Ministry of Commerce, the demand would be 18.15 million tons. Gap between supply and demand of 4.45 million tons and then 6.91 million tons of alumina was imported.
It's predicated that in 2007, China's alumina production capability will reach 26 million tons, up by 42% year on year; and the output will be about 20 million tons, increasing by 46% over the same period last year. By the year 2008, China's annual production capacity of alumina will approach 33 million tons; along with the release of alumina production capacity in 2007, the global alumina market will enter an surplus cycle. And the anaphase pressure in price reduction of alumina still exists. After 2010, the alumina market will be basically balanced between supply and demand instead of severely short supply.
The production capacity expansion caused by the high alumina price of the past years led to a long-term surplus supply in the world's alumina industry. High price of alumina in the past few years led to the expansion of production capability, resulting in a long-term surplus in global alumina market. We insist that influenced by the restriction from raw material supply and cost support, the global alumina price will keep low in 2007; while in the future, the alumina price will be around RMB 2400 Yuan per ton, which may differ from other consultancies. Meanwhile, the increased market fluctuation will urge China's alumina enterprises to merge and reorganize. The industry concentration degree will be further improved. And the merger and reorganization centralizing in China's alumina industry will become the focus in improving the concentration degree of China's electrolysis aluminium industry
1. Overview on the development of alumina industry
1.1 Basic character
1.1.1 Economy features of the industry 1.1.2 Industry chain 1.2 Maturity degree 1.2.1 Development cycle of the industry 1.2.2 Maturity degree of domestic and foreign markets 1.2.3 Maturity degree of the industry 2. Development environment of China's alumina industry
2.1 Resource environment 2.1.1 Resource nature and geological exploration of China's bauxite ore 2.1.2 Exploitation and utilization of China's bauxite ore 2.1.3 Development of China's coal industry 2.2 Economic environment 2.2.1 Macro economy of China in recent years 2.2.2 Structure of fixed assets investment by industry, 2003-2007 2.2.3 Economy development of major regions of China 2.3 Policies and code environment 2.3.1 Macro control policy in recent years and its influence on alumina industry 2.3.2 Overview on paid acquisition system of mining rights 2.3.3 Revenue policy of alumina import and export 2.3.4 Special Plan for Aluminium Industry Development and Development Policy on Aluminium Industry 2.4 Technical environment 2.4.1 Main R & D force of China's alumina technology 2.4.2 Investment in R & D 2.4.3 Talent cultivation 2.4.4 Technical progress of China in recent years 3. Retrospect on the operation of alumina industry, 2001-2006
3.1 Output, supply and sale 3.1.1 Alumina output, 2001-2006 3.1.2 Demand of alumina industry 3.1.3 Variation in sale/production ratio of Aluminium industry 3.1.4 Variation in inventory 3.2 Import and export of alumina industry 3.2.1 Import and export volume, 2001-2006 3.2.2 Import and export price, 2001-2006 3.2.3 Analysis on alumina import and export by country or region, 2001-2006 3.2.4 Major import and export enterprises 3.3 Financial status of alumina industry 3.3.1 Accomplishment of major economy indicators 3.3.2 Profit-making ability 3.3.3 Operation efficiency 3.3.4 Repayable ability 3.3.5 Growth ability 4. Status quo of competition
4.1 Porter 5 Forces Analysis 4.1.1 Current inter-enterprise competition 4.1.2 Potential entrants 4.1.3 Threat from substitute 4.1.4 Bargaining ability of providers 4.1.5 Bargaining ability of clients 4.2 Concentration degree of Aluminium industry 4.2.1 Market concentration degree 4.2.2 Brand concentration degree 4.2.3 Regional concentration degree 4.3 International competence of the industry 4.3.1 Production elements 4.3.2 Demand condition 4.3.3 Supporting and related industries 4.3.4 Enterprise strategy, structure and competition 4.3.5 Role of the government 5. Comparison in industry development by region
5.1 North China 5.1.1 Development status quo 5.1.2 Competition advantage 5.1.3 Prospect 5.2 East China 5.2.1 Development status quo 5.2.2 Competition advantage 5.2.3 Prospect 5.3 South China 5.3.1 Development status quo 5.3.2 Competition advantage 5.3.3 Prospect 5.4 Southwest China 5.4.1 Development status quo 5.4.2 Competition advantage 5.4.3 Prospect 5.5 Northwest China 5.5.1 Development status quo 5.5.2 Competition advantage 5.5.3 Prospect 6. Prospect of alumina and related industries, 2007-2010
6.1 Prospect of alumina industry 6.1.1 Macro economy 6.1.2 Trend and influence of policies 6.1.3 International industry trend 6.2 Prospect of alumina-related industries 6.2.1 Prospect of bauxite ore mining industry 6.2.2 Prospect of caustic soda industry 6.2.3 Prospect of energy (coal) industry 6.2.4 Prospect of electrolysis Aluminium industry 6.2.5 Prospect of Aluminium product industry 6.3 Development trend of alumina industry 6.3.1 Technical trend 6.3.2 Competition pattern of the industry 6.3.3 Internationalization trend 6.3.4 Problems and countermeasures 7. Forecast on the market, 2007-2010
7.2 Estimated demand of alumina, 2007-2010 7.1.1 Demand scale of electrolysis Aluminium, 2007-2010 7.1.2 Estimated demand for alumina, 2007-2010 7.2 Estimated production of alumina industry, 2007-2010 7.2.1 Investment in fixed assets in recent years 7.2.2 Current under-construction and planned projects 7.2.3 Investment value and investment appeal of the industry 7.2.4 Estimated alumina output, 2007-2010 7.3 Estimated import and export statistics of alumina, 2007-2010 7.3.1 Import 2007-2010 7.3.2 Export 2007-2010 7.4 Price trend of alumina, 2007-2010 7.4.1 Price trend and reason in recent years 7.4.2 Current market price 7.4.3 Estimated price trend of alumina, 2007-2010 8. Major enterprises in alumina industry
8.1 Aluminium Corporation of China Limited 8.1.1 Company profile 8.1.2 Operating and financial status 8.1.3 Strength and development strategy 8.2 Chiping Xinfa Huayu Alumina Co., Ltd. 8.2.1 Company profile 8.2.2 Operating and financial status 8.2.3 Strength and development strategy 8.3 Shandong Weiqiao Aluminium-Electricity Co., Ltd. 8.3.1 Company profile 8.3.2 Operating and financial status 8.3.3 Strength and development strategy 8.4 Shanxi Luneng Jinbei Aluminium Co., Ltd. 8.4.1 Company profile 8.4.2 Operating and financial status 8.4.3 Strength and development strategy 8.5 Coalmine Aluminium (Sanmenxia) Co., Ltd. 8.5.1 Company profile 8.5.2 Operating and financial status 8.5.3 Strength and development strategy 8.6 East Hope Group 8.6.1 Company profile 8.6.2 Operating and financial status 8.6.3 Strength and development strategy 8.7 Louyang Heung kong Wanji Aluminium Co., Ltd. 8.7.1 Overview 8.7.2 Operating and financial status 8.7.3 Strength and development strategy 8.8 Yixiang Aluminium Industrial Co., Ltd. 8.8.1 Overview 8.8.2 Operating and financial status 8.8.3 Strength and development strategy 8.9 Chongqing Dingtai Tuoyuan Alumina Development Co., Ltd. 8.9.1 Company profile 8.9.2 Operating and financial status 8.9.3 Strength and development strategy 8.10 Henan Huiyuan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. 8.10.1 Company profile 8.10.2 Operating and financial status 8.10.3 Strength and development strategy 8.11 Chongqing Nanchuan Xianfeng Alumina Co., Ltd. (Bosai Minerals Group) 8.11.1 Company profile 8.11.2 Operating and financial status 8.11.3 Strength and development strategy 8.12 Shanxi Xiaoyi Tianyuan Aluminium Group 8.12.1 Company profile 8.12.2 Operating and financial status 8.12.3 Strength and development strategy 8.13 Shandong Longkou Nanshan Group 8.13.1 Company profile 8.13.2 Operating and financial status 8.13.3 Strength and development strategy 8.14 Guangxi Huayin Aluminium Industry Co., Ltd. 8.14.1 Company profile 8.14.2 Operating and financial status 8.14.3 Strength and development strategy 8.15 Shandong Lubei Chemistry 8.15.1 Company profile 8.15.2 Operating and financial status 8.15.3 Strength and development strategy 9. Investment opportunities and risk of alumina industry
9.1 Investment opportunities 9.1.1 Price trend of bauxite, 2007-2010 9.1.2 China's coal supply & demand and price trend, 2008-2010 9.1.3 Consumption market of domestic and foreign aluminium and related products 9.1.4 Forecast on competition performance of alumina industry, 2007-2010 9.1.5 Overview on investment opportunities of alumina industry 9.2 Investment risk of alumina industry 9.2.1 Risk in fluctuation of raw material price 9.2.2 Market risk 9.2.3 Policy risk 9.2.4 Operation risk
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